Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.370186 0.401157 0.434550 0.473412 0.517624 0.566630 0.625439
2025-01-05 0.303680 0.346875 0.397327 0.461470 0.542134 0.642044 0.778205
2025-01-12 0.255785 0.302871 0.361035 0.439942 0.547180 0.692712 0.914718
2025-01-19 0.222658 0.270635 0.332403 0.420474 0.547815 0.734408 1.049287
2025-01-26 0.207060 0.257969 0.326162 0.428288 0.585628 0.835954 1.310122
2025-02-02 0.199163 0.254063 0.330486 0.450696 0.648507 0.992794 1.739773
2025-02-09 0.187120 0.242836 0.322624 0.452868 0.678515 1.101238 2.135209
2025-02-16 0.174076 0.228804 0.308857 0.443286 0.685774 1.168103 2.477457
2025-02-23 0.164913 0.219541 0.301173 0.442297 0.707885 1.271784 2.999743
2025-03-02 0.155334 0.208844 0.290152 0.433992 0.714165 1.342522 3.489103
2025-03-09 0.146724 0.198964 0.279509 0.424928 0.717079 1.406439 4.028141
2025-03-16 0.139340 0.190456 0.270342 0.417361 0.721613 1.476383 4.689268
2025-03-23 0.135424 0.187374 0.270285 0.427538 0.768835 1.689255 6.503784
2025-03-30 0.128199 0.178700 0.260343 0.418116 0.771074 1.777019 7.897626
2025-04-06 0.120100 0.168184 0.246545 0.399772 0.749241 1.781928 8.771924
2025-04-13 0.112939 0.158814 0.234116 0.382945 0.728452 1.784582 9.732932
2025-04-20 0.110109 0.156322 0.233462 0.389789 0.768352 2.026142 14.708241
2025-04-27 0.109309 0.157094 0.238597 0.409275 0.846769 2.483901 30.390756
2025-05-04 0.106091 0.153599 0.235704 0.411164 0.877459 2.767548 54.144005
2025-05-11 0.101779 0.148016 0.228564 0.402850 0.876566 2.898614 83.413501
2025-05-18 0.098722 0.144429 0.224907 0.401992 0.898395 3.178774 191.342313
2025-05-25 0.095100 0.139689 0.218768 0.394774 0.898794 3.339296 440.648165
2025-06-01 0.091636 0.135072 0.212595 0.386886 0.895570 3.480448 1475.131858